Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market28 Oct 2026

Will housing associations report 2,000 homes found by 24 Dec?

BinaryResolves 24 Dec 2026
Hunch29%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolves 24 Dec 2026
Why these numbers

Hunch. The National Housing Federation pledged on 25 October only to identify 'potential' homes and bedspaces, and named no date for a count.

How this resolves

The homes market resolves on the National Housing Federation news page and GOV.UK: YES if by the end of 24 December 2026 either gives a number of 2,000 or more homes and beds found for people leaving the street, and NO if the number is lower or no number appears. BBC News and The Guardian are the backups.

The pattern behind it

1 of 7
One of seven times a government or mayor in Britain or Ireland promised to end rough sleeping by a date, it said on time that the goal was met, and six times the goal was missed.

We looked for cases where a government or mayor in Britain or Ireland promised that, by a named date, everyone sleeping rough would be offered a place to stay, or that rough sleeping would end. We found seven such promises from 2008 to 2020, five in England and two in Ireland. One was met on time, in Dublin in 2014.