Does Russia announce the expulsion of a British diplomat on or before 25 November 2026?

Four of the last four British firsts in this war produced a public Russian threat within days, and four is the full record since January 2023. In none of the four did a direct military attack on British territory follow; the answer came instead through doctrine changes, sabotage attributed to Russian proxies and rhetoric aimed at British opinion. The pattern predicts noise rather than kinetic retaliation, and it says nothing about how a transfer of design data is answered. Four cases sit below the six Hunch needs before it shows History.