History. No count from the eight: in none of these eight media deals did a new test wait for approval by both the Commons and the Lords. It happened twice in other deals, not about media (Lloyds TSB and HBOS 2008, BT and TalkTalk 2026).
Hunch. On 4 November Lisa Nandy promised to bring the streaming test to Parliament, and in October the Commons and the Lords approved her last such order, for BT and TalkTalk, within 16 days.
The streaming test market resolves YES if by 23:59 UK time on 20 April 2027 both the Commons and the Lords have approved an order under section 58(3) of the Enterprise Act 2002 that adds the streaming test named in the 4 November notice, while no order, an order that lapses or approval by only one of them by that day count as NO. It is judged on Hansard and the order text on legislation.gov.uk, with BBC News and The Guardian as backup.
We looked for cases where a UK minister issued a notice like this on a media deal under the same 2002 law, and then had to decide on a full inquiry. We found eight since 2007: three TV deals involving Sky and five newspaper deals. For each we checked whether the minister sent the deal to a full inquiry, or said in writing they planned to, within 24 weeks.