Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market08 Oct 2026

Will South West Water withdraw its water-use ban request by 6 Jan?

BinaryResolves 6 Jan 2027
History3 of 5
Hunch49%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolves 6 Jan 2027
Why these numbers

History. 3 of 5: Thames Water 2006, Southern Water 2025 and South East Water 2025, after 52 to 82 days; one granted, one still waiting.

Hunch. On 6 October the company's Sam Bottomley said reservoirs just haven't recovered and called the ban a last resort.

How this resolves

The withdrawal market resolves on the GOV.UK drought report for the week to 6 January 2027 and South West Water statements: YES if the company withdrew the request before ministers decided, and NO if ministers decided or the request is still open or only paused. BBC News and The Guardian confirm it.

The pattern behind it

1 of 5
One of five times ministers granted such a ban, about two months after the request. Three times the company withdrew it first, and one request still has no answer.

We looked for cases where a water company in England asked the government for a ban on non-essential water use. We found five such requests since 2006 with a date on an open page. Ministers agreed to one, companies withdrew three, and one is still waiting.