Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market15 Jul 2026

Who wins the 2026 World Cup?

Multiple choiceResolves 19 Jul 2026
Hunch
Spain45%
England29%
Argentina26%
Your forecast
  • Spain
  • England
  • Argentina
Resolved
Resolved: Spain

Spain beat Argentina 1-0 after extra time at MetLife Stadium, Ferran Torres scoring on 105 minutes for a second Spanish title.

Resolved 19 Jul 2026
How this resolves

The champion market resolves on the official result published on the FIFA.com match centre for the 19 July final at MetLife Stadium; a win after extra time or a penalty shoot-out counts as winning the trophy.

The pattern behind it

2 of 14
Two of the fourteen reigning European champions have won the following World Cup, West Germany in 1974 and Spain in 2010. Four others reached the final and lost it; the rest went out earlier, two of them at the group stage and one without qualifying at all.

Two European champions have gone on to win the next World Cup: West Germany in 1974 and Spain in 2010. We looked at how every reigning European champion did at the following World Cup. Fourteen teams went before Spain, and six of them are shown below.