Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market07 Nov 2026

Will Step Into Christmas climb higher in the week after Christmas?

BinaryResolves 1 Jan 2027
History86%
Hunch78%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolves 1 Jan 2027
Why these numbers

History. 6 of 7: on the first chart after Christmas Amazon's song rose in 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022 and 2024, and stayed at number 2 in 2023. 2025 is left out because XMAS was already number one, the case in which this market is void.

Hunch. This year the Christmas chart already counts the days up to Christmas Eve, so the next chart counts only the quieter days after Christmas, which leaves less room to climb.

How this resolves

The after-Christmas market counts only if Step Into Christmas (Amazon Music Original) is in the top 100 of the 25 December chart but not number one, and is void otherwise: YES if it is higher on the Official Singles Chart dated 1 January 2027, NO if it is at the same place, lower or out of the top 100. The two chart pages on OfficialCharts.com decide, with BBC News and The Guardian as the backup.

The pattern behind it

1 of 8
One of eight times since 2018, a Christmas song made for Amazon Music was UK Christmas number one, and seven times another song was.

We looked for cases where a music streaming service put out a Christmas song of its own that was not on rival streaming apps, before the UK Christmas chart. We found eight Christmases from 2018 to 2025, all of them Amazon Music. Its song was number one once, in 2025. In the other seven years it reached between number 2 and number 56.