Pogacar held yellow into the 13 Jul rest day after extending his lead on stage 10, with Vingegaard second at 3:36 (ESPN, 14 Jul 2026).
The market resolves on the official ASO general classification after stage 9 on 12 July, the last stage before the 13 July rest day. It resolves YES only if Vingegaard is listed first. If that source has not published in time, ESPN and Olympics.com standings settle it.
Pogacar won three of the five Tours both men finished since 2021. We looked at every Tour since then that both riders completed. In each one they finished first and second, and the rider who led the race going into the third week won it. We ask the same question as the first market: did Pogacar win the race? We used reports from ESPN and Olympics.com and the official results.