History. In one of four US court orders since 2021 for a party to answer questions under oath by a set day, the questioning went ahead on time (Trump, Carroll case, 2022). Trump dropped his case against Cohen first, Prince Andrew settled, and Elon Musk did not turn up.
Hunch. On 21 October Trump's lawyers offered to sit for questioning in January, after the 11 December deadline.
The questioning market resolves on the court record of Trump v. British Broadcasting Corporation in the Southern District of Florida: YES if Donald Trump sits for his deposition by the end of 11 December 2026, even if it does not finish, and NO if he does not, including when the deadline is extended or the case ends first. BBC News and The Guardian reports settle it if the record is silent, and a later report of questioning on or before 11 December counts.
We looked for cases where a US federal judge ordered a party in a civil court dispute to answer questions under oath by a set day. We found four such orders from 2021 to 2024 in BBC and Guardian reports and court records. Donald Trump was the party in two of them. Each time we checked whether the questioning went ahead on the day set.