On 14 October 2026 Judge Rochon extended her 11 October order halting the ads by 14 days to 8 November, and later extended it to 15 and then 20 November, as the court docket shows; no whitelist outlet report was opened, so the court record settles it.
History. 4 of 5: extended or replaced by the same court in 2026, 2024 twice and 2022; in 2021 the judge ended his order because another court had banned the payments. 2022 and 2024 (appeals court) are a different kind of order; of the three orders like this one, two were extended.
Hunch. The Justice Department told the court on 10 October that the ad campaign would end the next day, so the judge may have little left to block.
The extension market resolves on the court record of Common Cause v. Department of Homeland Security in New York: YES if by 6:45 p.m. New York time on 25 October 2026 Judge Rochon extends her order or replaces it with a longer ban, such as a preliminary injunction. If the order runs out, is lifted or the court refuses to extend it, the market resolves NO, and Reuters and Guardian reports settle it if the court record does not open.
We looked for cases where a US federal court used a short order to stop the government spending or paying out federal money. We found five such orders from 2021 to 2026. Three were about Joe Biden's plans to cancel student debt. Two of the five were pauses by an appeals court, a different kind of order from Judge Rochon's.