The court record of Common Cause v Department of Homeland Security, with filings up to 26 October 2026, shows no notice of appeal and no request to a higher court to pause the order by the end of 25 October; instead the government agreed on 22 October to extend the order to 20 November (the browser was blocked, so the record was read as a direct page download).
Hunch. The Justice Department told the court the ad campaign was ending anyway, which leaves little to win from an appeal.
The appeal market resolves on the court record of the case and of the Second Circuit appeals court: YES if by the end of 25 October 2026 the government files an appeal or asks the appeals court or the Supreme Court to pause the order. Otherwise it resolves NO, and Reuters and Guardian reports settle it if the court records do not open.
We looked for cases where a US federal court used a short order to stop the government spending or paying out federal money. We found five such orders from 2021 to 2026. Three were about Joe Biden's plans to cancel student debt. Two of the five were pauses by an appeals court, a different kind of order from Judge Rochon's.