History. 2 of 4: Turkey 2024 on the day and Mexico 2025 in 91 days. History lands on 50, so this market is outside the public accuracy count.
Hunch. A government spokesperson said on 5 October that no tariffs have been put on Chinese electric cars, two years after the EU brought in its own.
Resolves on Department for Business and Trade and Treasury announcements on gov.uk, checked at 10:00 on 5 January 2027: YES if by the end of 4 January the government announces a new or extra tariff on passenger cars from China, at any rate and starting on any date. Opening a probe without a decision on a tariff resolves NO, and The Guardian and BBC News settle it if gov.uk is silent.
We looked for cases where a government decided whether to tax cheap imports from one country after an ally had already done so, without its own industry asking for it. We found four, all about cars from China, in 2023 to 2025. No database lists such decisions, so others may be missing.