Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market28 Aug 2026

Are both Zurich records ratified by 31 October?

BinaryResolves 31 Oct 2026
History25%
Hunch20%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: NO

On 1 November 2026 the World Athletics world records page still marks Masai Russell's 12.09 in the 100m hurdles from Zurich as pending ratification, so both Zurich records were not ratified by 31 October.

Resolved 31 Oct 2026
How this resolves

The market resolves on worldathletics.org states, by 31 October 2026, that both the 45.80 by dos Santos and the 12.09 by Masai Russell have been ratified as world records; batch releases, no fixed date. If that source has not published in time, BBC Sport and Al Jazeera. Either mark unratified on 31 October resolves NO settle it.

The pattern behind it

2 of 8
Two of the last eight senior world records World Athletics ratified were confirmed within 92 days of the performance, and both were the London Marathon marks that waited 88 days. Across the full record since the April 2025 release it is eleven of 25: nine of fourteen in 2025, when Duplantis's 6.29m cleared in 29 days, against two of eleven in 2026. Nothing in the full set was confirmed inside 29 days, so a market on the standard 31-day horizon has no case behind it.

Only two of the last eight records were confirmed within 92 days. We looked at the last eight senior world records that World Athletics confirmed, ordered by the date of the performance. For each, we counted the days from the performance to the press release that confirmed it.