A Resolution Foundation report says fewer UK workers will do more than their job asks. The official productivity figure comes on 17 November.
4 of 5In four of five quick ONS estimates after a weak quarter, UK output per hour was up on a year earlier, and once it was down.
Will UK productivity be up on a year earlier in ONS data on 17 Nov?
Three of five times the UK factory survey picked up while oil was far dearer, official output rose that month. Twice it fell.
Four of five times since 2017 that the forecaster gave its growth figure on an autumn Budget day, the first official number for the year came within 0.3 points of it, and once it was a full point higher.
Company insolvencies for October come out on 17 November. In six of seven months since 2022 with a Budget that helped business, they did not jump more than 8% on the month before, and once they rose 38%.
Eight of ten times both early months of a quarter grew, the first quarterly figure was 0.4% or more, and twice it was lower.
In five of seven years after a summer rise, the IMF kept or raised its UK forecast in October, and twice it cut it.
Four of the last eight rebounds of 0.3 per cent or more after a flat or falling month were followed by growth; over the full series since 1997 it is 40 of 68.