Ofwat says water firms owe £107m. Will its final decision come by 2 December?

Ofwat said on 14 October that five water companies must return money to customers for missing targets. Its final decision is due by 15 December.

Historical sample: 6 of 6.

Current example: 2 Dec (not part of the historical sample).

6 of 6All six selected dedicated annual ODI rounds reached final determination within 49 days of their drafts.

Will Ofwat publish its final water penalty decision by 2 December?

History6 of 6Hunch77%

South West Water fined £7.87m over sewage. Will another penalty follow?

In none of ten cases where a water or energy company got its biggest penalty yet did a regulator punish it again within 30 days.

History0%Hunch18%

All three verified cases of a water company running out of money since 1989 avoided special administration.