Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market04 Sep 2026

Does Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 US Open men's singles title on 13 September?

BinaryResolves 13 Sep 2026
History17%
Hunch45%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: NO

Carlos Alcaraz was eliminated in the quarter-finals by Ben Shelton 6-7(5) 6-1 6-3 1-6 7-6(7) in a match that began late on 8 September and finished at 3.33am on 9 September 2026, the latest finish in US Open history (cbssports.com, 9 September 2026; nbcnews.com, 9 September 2026); the men's final on 13 September is Shelton against Alexander Zverev (cbssports.com live blog).

Resolved 9 Sep 2026
How this resolves

The market resolves on the US Open official results (usopen.org), published at the end of the final on Sunday 13 September. It resolves YES if usopen.org records Alcaraz as winner of the men's singles final. If that source has not published in time, the ATP Tour results page (atptour.com) and BBC Sport's match report; if the final is not completed on 13 September, the market resolves on the day it is completed or awarded settle it.

The pattern behind it

1 of 6
One of the last six major champions who made a Grand Slam their first tournament after an injury absence of four months or more won the title: Federer at the 2017 Australian Open. Nadal reached the 2019 Melbourne final; Djokovic went out in the fourth round in 2018; Wawrinka and Andreescu lost in the second round, Serena Williams in the first. The full record is the same six cases, 2017 to 2022.

We looked at Grand Slam champions who, between 2017 and 2022, made a major their first tournament after four months or more out injured, and at how far they went. We found six. The newest come first, and the record comes from BBC Sport, the Guardian and Sky Sports.