Kimi Antonelli entered the summer break leading the drivers' championship on 219 points, 50 ahead of Hamilton, after finishing third in the Hungarian Grand Prix on 26 July.
The market resolves on the official FIA drivers' championship standings published after the Hungarian Grand Prix on 26 July 2026, the last round before the break. It resolves YES if Antonelli is top of those standings. Post-race penalties applied before the classification is declared count; later appeals do not reopen it. If that source has not published in time, Formula1.com standings and Sky Sports F1 settle it.
Formula 1 rewrites its rules roughly once every ten years. We looked at the four big rule changes since 1998 and asked one thing: was the driver whose team best understood the new rules still in front when the season ended, however far his lead fell on the way?