Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market06 Oct 2026

Will Asos confirm that customer data was stolen by 13 October?

BinaryResolves 13 Oct 2026
History100%
Hunch70%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: YES

Asos's email to customers on 8 October 2026 confirmed that data profiles were taken, as BBC News and The Guardian reported; counted as confirmation on Pavlo's decision of 14 October.

Resolved 8 Oct 2026
Why these numbers

History. 6 of 6, within 0 to 7 days. The two latest came after the hackers had put data on their own site.

Hunch. Asos says only that names and contact details may have been accessed, and it is still investigating with outside advisers.

How this resolves

The confirmation market resolves on Asos statements on asosplc.com or its stock market announcements: YES if by the end of 13 October Asos says customer data was stolen or that data posted by the hackers is real, NO if it does not or says no data was taken. Saying data may have been accessed is not enough. BBC News and The Guardian are the backup.

The pattern behind it

6 of 6
All six companies that faced a public leak threat before confirming any theft did confirm it within seven days. Four confirmed it within two days.

We looked for cases where hackers publicly threatened to leak a company's data while the company had not yet confirmed any theft. We found six such threats from 2015 to 2025 in BBC News and Guardian reports. All six companies confirmed the theft within a week, and in three the hackers posted the data within a month.