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Market12 Sep 2026

Does a Lords assisted dying bill get a first reading by 13 Oct?

BinaryResolves 13 Oct 2026
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  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: NO

The Parliament bills record shows no Lords bill on assisted dying or terminally ill adults with a first reading between 13 September and 13 October 2026; the last Lords bill, Assisted Dying for Terminally Ill Adults Bill [HL], dates from the previous session.

Resolved 13 Oct 2026
How this resolves

(adjacent). The market resolves on bills.parliament.uk, which lists Lords bills on the day of first reading: YES if a bill whose short title contains assisted dying or terminally ill adults has a Lords first reading dated 13 September to 13 October 2026; a Commons bill carried to the Lords does not count. If the record has not updated, Lords Hansard and BBC News settle it, and silence by 23:59 BST on 13 October resolves NO.

The pattern behind it

1 of 7
One of seven defeats since 1969 was followed within 31 days by a named next vehicle, Lord Joffe's 2006 pledge to bring his bill back. The other six named nothing in the month; only the 2015 Commons defeat saw a bill within a year.

We looked at every assisted dying bill voted down in the Commons, the Lords or the Scottish Parliament since 1969. There are seven. For each, we checked whether the sponsor or the main campaign named its next step within 31 days: a new bill, a Lords bill, a promise to enter the ballot, or an inquiry by a committee. Bills that ran out of time without a vote are left out. Only one of the seven named a next step within the month.