The Commons rejected the bill at second reading on 11 September 2026, Ayes 270 Noes 286 (division 2428, commonsvotes-api.parliament.uk); the closure motion carried 293-218 beforehand.
The market resolves on the same division record, Ayes minus Noes. If the bill is read a second time without a division, the option resolving is 'Majority of 50 or more'; if the debate is talked out or the question negatived, 'Defeated, or no division reached'. If that source has not published in time, BBC News and PoliticsHome settle it.
We looked at every Commons second reading since 1964 of a backbench bill that would remove or narrow a criminal ban on a matter of conscience, on a free vote where neither main party told its MPs how to vote. Government bills, bills that create a new crime and Lords bills are left out. We asked one thing: did the bill pass its second reading? Five bills fit, and four of them passed. That is one fewer than the six we need before we show History.