Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market14 Jul 2026

Who wins the 154th Open at Royal Birkdale?

Multiple choiceResolves 19 Jul 2026
Hunch
Scottie Scheffler29%
Rory McIlroy21%
Tommy Fleetwood9%
Another player41%
Your forecast
  • Scottie Scheffler
  • Rory McIlroy
  • Tommy Fleetwood
  • Another player
Resolved
Resolved: Another player

Ryan Fox of New Zealand won his first major at ten under par, birdieing the last to finish one clear of Cameron Young.

Resolved 19 Jul 2026
How this resolves

The market resolves on the winner recorded on theopen.com after the final round on 19 July 2026, including any playoff. If that source has not published in time, BBC Sport and the PGA Tour results page settle it.

The pattern behind it

Too few cases
None of the ten Opens played at Royal Birkdale since 1954 has been won by a British player, and ten is the full record at the venue. The near-misses run the other way: Justin Rose tied fourth as a 17-year-old amateur in 1998, Ian Poulter was second in 2008 and Rory McIlroy shared fourth in 2017. Five case rows are shown, below the six Hunch requires to display History.

All ten Opens at Birkdale went to players from abroad. Royal Birkdale has hosted the Open ten times since 1954. Even so, each of the last three put a British player in the top five. The newest come first. The 2025 Open at Portrush is shown as the most recent Open, and it is not one of the ten at Birkdale.