Does UK average petrol reach 170p a litre by 6 October?
BinaryResolves 6 Oct 2026
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Your forecast
Yes
No
Resolved
Resolved: YES
The DESNZ weekly road fuel price table on gov.uk, published 22 September 2026, put the UK average unleaded petrol price at 172.01p a litre for the week of 21 September, and 173.46p in the table published 29 September.
Resolved 22 Sep 2026
How this resolves
The pump-price market resolves on the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero weekly road fuel price table on gov.uk, which publishes each Tuesday; the UK average price of unleaded petrol must reach 170.0p a litre or more in the table published on or before 6 October 2026. The AA had the average at 166.2p on 8 September. If the table is delayed, the RAC Fuel Watch average for the same week stands in.
The pattern behind it
5 of 8
Five of the last eight moves back above $100 were reversed inside 30 days: July 2026 (11 days), May 2026 (three days), April 2026 (the same afternoon), March 2026 (the same day) and February 2022 (19 days). Three held: January 2011, which ran to $116 within five weeks on the Libyan uprising, October 2011, which was still near $110 a month later, and 22 April 2026, which stayed above the line for 33 days. The split is not random. The two crossings that held before this year came on supply losses with no diplomatic off-ramp; four of the five reversals came inside a war in which a single ceasefire headline has repeatedly taken $10 to $20 off the price in a session.
Brent has risen back above $100 a barrel eight times since 2011, counting only rises reported by the publications we use. Five of them came this year, during the war with Iran. For each one we checked whether the price fell below $100 again within 30 days.
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