No minister or parliamentary private secretary resigned citing North Sea oil and gas policy by 30 September 2026, according to gov.uk ministerial records and news coverage.
The market resolves on a serving minister or parliamentary private secretary leaving government where their own published resignation letter or statement, or the No 10 or gov.uk record of it, refers to North Sea oil and gas consent or licensing policy; the departure itself confirmed by a gov.uk ministerial appointments update or a No 10 statement, by 23:59 BST on 30 September 2026. Media characterisation of motives, unattributed briefings and threats to resign do not count. If that source has not published in time, BBC News and The Guardian settle it.
We found four revolts since 1997, and each lost at first. We looked for revolts on a point of principle by Labour MPs against a first-term Labour government with a large majority. Each time the government got its policy through the first fight. In three of the four it later gave the rebels most of what they wanted.