No steering decision for Apple or Google was published by 31 October 2026: the Apple case page was last updated on 20 October with an NFC consultation and the Google case page on 14 August.
Resolves on both case pages, gov.uk/cma-cases/apples-mobile-platform and gov.uk/cma-cases/googles-mobile-platform. YES if steering decisions for both platforms are published with the same date on or before 31 October 2026. If only one is published by then, or the two carry different dates, the market resolves NO. If that source has not published in time, Reuters and the Financial Times settle it.
Five decisions qualify, one short of the six we need to show History. We looked at every finished step in the CMA's three big tech cases, Apple's phones, Google's phones and Google search. For each we counted the days from the CMA publishing the replies to a consultation to publishing its decision, as recorded on the three case pages on 15 August 2026. Where one consultation led to decisions on two dates, each counts. The test is the one the first market asks: did the decision come within 78 days? The step from opening an investigation to proposing a designation is left out, because the law gives it nine months.