On 24 September 2026 the Department of Homeland Security filed application 26A406 at the Supreme Court to stay the ruling in D.V.D. (First Circuit No. 26-1212), and the rule says a filing on or before 5 October settles this market YES too, according to the Supreme Court docket.
Hunch. The mandate that would make this judgment bite falls about a week after this date, so the government can take the slower rehearing route and lose nothing in the meantime.
Same source and same test, with the window running to 2 November 2026: YES if the Supreme Court docket shows an application to stay or vacate the same First Circuit judgment by that date. An application filed on or before 5 October resolves both markets YES, and if the docket page cannot be opened that day, reports in two of Reuters, the BBC and the Guardian settle it.
We looked at every ruling since 20 January 2025 where a US appeals court went against the Trump government on an immigration policy and kept it blocked for the whole country or a whole group. Did the government then ask the Supreme Court for an emergency pause? We found eleven rulings. One office decides every one of these requests, so the eleven are not fully separate. The two detention rulings came from one policy and one choice, so they count as one. Newest first.