Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market27 Aug 2026

Will the Energy Secretary announce new household bill support before the Budget?

BinaryResolves 27 Oct 2026
Hunch27%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: NO

The Warm Homes Loan Scheme launched on 27 October 2026 was announced in the Warm Homes Plan on 20 January 2026, so no new household bill support was announced before the Budget.

Resolved 27 Oct 2026
How this resolves

The market resolves on a Department for Energy Security and Net Zero announcement on gov.uk or a ministerial statement in Hansard between 27 August and 27 October 2026 containing a new household bill measure not already announced. If that source has not published in time, BBC News and PoliticsHome settle it.

The pattern behind it

2 of 8
Two of the last eight fiscal events held within three months of a cap rise acted on household bills: November 2022, when the cap had reached £3,549, and November 2025, when the government moved levy costs off bills. Six did nothing: the Spring Statements of 2019, 2022 and 2025 and the Budgets of March 2021, October 2021 and October 2024. Eight cases is the full record since the cap began, and the two that acted did so when the rise was extreme or when the Treasury had a lever it wanted to use anyway.

We looked at every UK Budget, and every Spring or Autumn Statement, since the cap began in 2019 that came within three months after Ofgem announced a rise. We found eight. For each we asked one question: did it bring a new step that cuts household energy bills or helps pay them? Spending on energy efficiency, higher benefits and the Household Support Fund do not count, and nor does help announced outside these statements.