The semi-final was settled in normal time, Lautaro Martinez scoring the winner two minutes into stoppage time.
Resolved 15 Jul 2026
How this resolves
The market resolves on the FIFA.com match report, which records whether the tie was level after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If that source has not published in time, BBC Sport and ESPN settle it.
The pattern behind it
Too few cases
England have won three of their five World Cup meetings with Argentina, and five is the full record. The three wins came in 1962, 1966 and 2002; the two defeats, in 1986 and 1998, were both knockout ties, which leaves England one from three when a place in the next round was on the line. Five cases is below the six Hunch requires to show History.
England won three of the five earlier World Cup games. This is the sixth time the two sides meet at a World Cup. In the knockout rounds, England won only one of three, and Argentina won both games that went to the very end, in 1986 and 1998. All five are below, newest first.
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