Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market15 Jul 2026

Will Lionel Messi score in the England v Argentina semi-final on 15 July 2026?

BinaryResolves 15 Jul 2026
Hunch44%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: NO

Messi did not score: he assisted both Argentina goals, by Enzo Fernández on 85 minutes and Lautaro Martínez in stoppage time, in a 2-1 win, per the FIFA match centre and ESPN.

Resolved 15 Jul 2026
How this resolves

The market resolves on the official FIFA scorer record for the match. Goals in 90 minutes or extra time count; shoot-out kicks and own goals do not. If that source has not published in time, ESPN and Sky Sports settle it.

The pattern behind it

Too few cases
England have won three of their five World Cup meetings with Argentina, and five is the full record. The three wins came in 1962, 1966 and 2002; the two defeats, in 1986 and 1998, were both knockout ties, which leaves England one from three when a place in the next round was on the line. Five cases is below the six Hunch requires to show History.

England won three of the five earlier World Cup games. This is the sixth time the two sides meet at a World Cup. In the knockout rounds, England won only one of three, and Argentina won both games that went to the very end, in 1986 and 1998. All five are below, newest first.