Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market03 Sep 2026

Is a Bill providing for an overnight visitor levy in England introduced in Parliament by 25 November 2026?

BinaryResolves 25 Nov 2026
Hunch45%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolves 25 Nov 2026
How this resolves

The market resolves on the Bills register at bills.parliament.uk, which records a first reading on the day it happens. YES if a Bill whose long title or clauses provide for an overnight visitor or accommodation levy in England is recorded as introduced in either chamber on or before 25 November 2026; a clause added by amendment to another Bill counts from the day the amendment is published. If that source has not published in time, BBC News and PoliticsHome reports of the introduction settle it.

The pattern behind it

Too few cases
Two of the last five promised local levies reached a Bill within twelve months: the late night levy (consultation summer 2010, Bill 30 November 2010) and 50 per cent business rates retention (proposals by August 2011, Bill 19 December 2011). Three did not: business rate supplements (October 2007 to December 2008), 100 per cent retention (October 2015 to January 2017) and the Infrastructure Levy (August 2020 to May 2022). Five cases is the full record and below the six Hunch requires to show History.

We looked at every time since 2007 that the UK government announced a new levy or tax that councils or mayors in England would charge and keep. For each we asked one question: did a Bill giving that power have its first reading in Parliament within twelve months of the first government paper? Changes that needed no Bill are left out. Five cases fit, too few for us to show a percentage. The visitor levy, announced on 25 November 2025, is the open sixth.