Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market03 Sep 2026

Does the government publish its response to the England visitor levy consultation by 30 September?

BinaryResolves 30 Sep 2026
Hunch30%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: YES

The government response to the Visitor levy in England consultation was published on the gov.uk consultation page on 10 September 2026.

Resolved 10 Sep 2026
How this resolves

The market resolves on the consultation page at gov.uk/government/consultations/overnight-visitor-levy-in-england. YES if a document headed as the government response or consultation outcome is published there on or before 30 September 2026. If that source has not published in time, BBC News and PoliticsHome settle it.

The pattern behind it

Too few cases
Two of the last five promised local levies reached a Bill within twelve months: the late night levy (consultation summer 2010, Bill 30 November 2010) and 50 per cent business rates retention (proposals by August 2011, Bill 19 December 2011). Three did not: business rate supplements (October 2007 to December 2008), 100 per cent retention (October 2015 to January 2017) and the Infrastructure Levy (August 2020 to May 2022). Five cases is the full record and below the six Hunch requires to show History.

We looked at every time since 2007 that the UK government announced a new levy or tax that councils or mayors in England would charge and keep. For each we asked one question: did a Bill giving that power have its first reading in Parliament within twelve months of the first government paper? Changes that needed no Bill are left out. Five cases fit, too few for us to show a percentage. The visitor levy, announced on 25 November 2025, is the open sixth.