The CMA case page shows the Phase 1 decision was announced on 1 October 2026, before the 28 October deadline, with no revised later deadline, which The Independent also reported that day.
The market resolves on the same case page. YES if the CMA publishes a revised statutory deadline later than 28 October 2026 for the Phase 1 decision; a decision issued on or before the deadline resolves NO. If that source has not published in time, Reuters and BBC News settle it.
Four of five past mergers cleared at the first stage. We looked at every merger decision on the CMA's records since 2003 where a supplier of gas or electricity to homes in Great Britain sold that business or its customers. We asked one thing: was the deal cleared at the first stage, or sent to a full inquiry? Deals about networks, power stations or business customers are left out.