Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market13 Sep 2026

Is a date for the next EU-UK summit announced by 14 Oct?

BinaryResolves 14 Oct 2026
History33%
Hunch35%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: YES

On 12 October 2026 the Prime Minister's Office said on gov.uk that the Prime Minister will meet António Costa and Ursula von der Leyen in Brussels on 20 November 2026 for the second UK-EU summit, and BBC News reported the same day.

Resolved 12 Oct 2026
How this resolves

The market resolves on gov.uk (Prime Minister's Office and Cabinet Office news) and on the European Commission press corner at ec.europa.eu, with consilium.europa.eu press releases as an equal primary source: YES if a statement dated 13 September to 14 October 2026 gives a specific calendar day for the second EU-UK summit or for a dated EU-UK negotiating round on the SPS agreement; 'late November', 'autumn' or 'before the end of the year' without a day resolves NO, as of 13 September no date exists on any of the three pages. If none has published, Politico Europe and the Guardian settle it, and silence on all by 23:59 BST on 14 October resolves NO.

The pattern behind it

2 of 6
Two of six reported delays of an EU-UK or EU-Swiss round or summit got a firm new date within 31 days: October 2020 and February 2023, each in six days. May 2026 took 35 days. July 2026, SAFE 2025 and the Swiss walkout set none.

We found six public delays of EU talks since 2020. We looked for every reported delay of a planned EU-UK round of talks or summit, and added the EU's talks with Switzerland, a similar partner. For each one we asked whether either side named a day for the next meeting within 31 days. A month or a season without a day does not count.