History. 1 of 7. F1 in Bahrain in 2012 went ahead. The other six were cancelled or moved.
Hunch. Sky Sports reported on 26 September that F1's leaders judge the region stable enough to race if the events were happening now, and that the plan is still to go.
The Qatar race market resolves on the official F1 result for the Qatar Grand Prix: YES if the race is run at Lusail on Sunday 29 November 2026. A race on another date or at another track, or no race, resolves NO. If the results page is slow, the Sky Sports and BBC Sport reports that day settle it.
We looked for cases where a round of an international racing series stayed on the calendar after war or unrest began in the host country or region, and the organiser decided before race weekend. We found seven since 2011, and one went ahead on its date and at its track. Five of the seven come from this year's war in the Middle East, and the FIA, which also has a say on F1's calendar, took part in five of the seven decisions.