The next Ipsos Westminster poll after 6 July, published 9 August 2026, put Labour three points ahead of Reform UK on the headline figure.
The polling market resolves on the next Westminster voting-intention poll published by Ipsos UK after 6 July 2026; Reform UK first or joint-first on the headline figure resolves YES.
Four of five well-known MPs found at fault left within a year. We looked at recent high-profile cases where Parliament's standards or privileges process ruled against a prominent MP. In four the MP was out of the Commons within a year of the ruling. These cases say much less about how fast a complaint turns into a formal inquiry.