Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market23 May 2026

Will Fjord be in a Venice, TIFF or NYFF lineup announcement by 10 Aug 2026?

BinaryResolves 10 Aug 2026
Hunch57%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: YES

TIFF named Fjord in its official Special Presentations lineup, announced by 20 July 2026, ahead of the 10 August deadline.

Resolved 20 Jul 2026
How this resolves

The festival market resolves YES only if Fjord is named in an official selection announcement published by the Venice Biennale, TIFF or Film at Lincoln Center (NYFF) on or before 10 Aug 2026; Telluride's traditionally late reveal does not count before that date.

The pattern behind it

10 of 79
Ten directors have won twice in 79 editions of the festival — a 13% incidence across its whole history. But the club is compounding: three of the ten doubles landed in the last 15 years, as juries increasingly return to established auteurs rather than crown new ones.

Ten directors have won the Palme d'Or twice in 79 festivals. We looked at the five most recent. The gap between their two wins ran from three to 19 years, so the prize tends to come back to a director late.