Hunch. Asked if he sees Flávio Bolsonaro as Brazil's rightful leader, Trump said "I won't get involved", and his officials reportedly rebuked Flávio for calling himself president-elect.
The meeting market resolves YES if between 30 October 2026 and 23:59 US Eastern time on 4 January 2027 Donald Trump and Flávio Bolsonaro meet in person and talk, as shown by the White House and confirmed by the BBC or the Guardian. Calls, video, letters, go-betweens, being in one room without talking or a meeting set and then cancelled do not count.
We looked for cases where a candidate for president lost a national election, left the country within a year and lived abroad for more than 30 days. We found eight such exiles since 2007, in Africa, Europe and Latin America. Four of them left before the winner took office, as Flávio Bolsonaro did.