Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market02 Jul 2026

How did the EU's top court rule on Google's €4.1bn Android fine?

Multiple choiceResolves 2 Jul 2026
Hunch
Upheld in full58%
Fine reduced27%
Annulled15%
Your forecast
  • Upheld in full
  • Fine reduced
  • Annulled
Resolved
Resolved: Upheld in full

The ECJ dismissed Google's appeal entirely on 2 July, leaving the €4.1bn penalty standing with no further route of appeal.

Resolved 2 Jul 2026
How this resolves

The ruling market resolved on the Court of Justice of the EU's published judgment of 2 July 2026 (curia.europa.eu).

The pattern behind it

3 of 5
Three of the five landmark EU competition penalties that reached final judgment since 2022 survived. Intel and Qualcomm walked away with annulments. The pattern favours Brussels, but it is genuinely split — which is why the Android outcome was never a formality.

Big EU competition fines usually survive the courts, but not always. We looked at the landmark EU fines that reached a final ruling since 2022. The record favours the European Commission, and the exceptions were not small ones.