The White House finalised its frontier-model testing framework behind closed doors and had published no formal document by 10 August (Axios, 3 Aug; New York Times, 4 Aug; Guardian, 7 Aug 2026).
The framework market resolves YES only on a published document from the White House, OSTP or ONCD describing a pre-release evaluation process for frontier models; press briefings alone do not count.
None of five big AI previews since 2019 went public within six weeks. Leading AI companies have shown major models early and kept back the full release before, usually by their own choice. In none of the cases we found did a government ask for the hold. The gap between the preview and the full public release is what matters here, and in these cases it was never short.