In his executive order of 16 October 2026, published by the White House, President Trump waived the act's sanctions and duties under section 115 and stated that he had submitted to Congress the written certification that the waiver is in the national interest, as The Guardian and BBC News also report.
Hunch. Trump spent a year resisting this law and section 115 lets him unwind any part of it with a single certificate, which is a cheaper route than either enforcing the list or refusing it in public.
The waiver market resolves on the certificate itself. It resolves YES if, by the end of 18 October 2026, the president submits to Congress the written national-interest certification that section 115 requires before any waiver under the act, shown either by the White House or by a congressional committee publishing it. A private briefing, or an unnamed official describing one, resolves NO. If nothing is published, reports by the Guardian and Reuters settle it.
We looked at US sanctions laws aimed at a named country since 2004. For each one we counted the days from the president's signature to the first government action that named the new law. That could be an executive order, a Treasury listing or a State Department decision. We found twelve such laws. Newest first.