Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market01 Jul 2026

Will Nationwide report annual house price growth of 2.5% or more for July?

BinaryResolves 3 Aug 2026
History2 of 4
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Resolved
Resolved: NO

Nationwide's July index showed annual house price growth slowing to 1.8%, from 2.2% in June (nationwidehousepriceindex.co.uk).

Resolved 3 Aug 2026
How this resolves

House price markets resolve on the headline annual growth rate in Nationwide's monthly House Price Index report, published at nationwide.co.uk on the first working day of the following month.

The pattern behind it

2 of 4
In two of the last four years, Nationwide's annual growth rate ended the year higher than its June reading; in two it ended lower. The pattern is genuinely split — the deciding variable each time was what happened to mortgage rates in the second half.

Nationwide's own figures for the last four years split evenly. We asked whether faster house price growth in June carried on into the second half of the year, comparing each June's yearly rate with December's. Twice growth was faster by December, and twice it was slower.