History. 5 of 7. Only the 2025 decree, already changed for the president before signing, passed without changes; the 2007 one lapsed.
Hunch.
The second market resolves on the Gazzetta Ufficiale on the 60th day after the decree's publication, which is 30 November 2026 if it is published on 1 October: YES if the conversion law says 'con modificazioni', NO if it does not or if the decree lapses. If the decree is not published by 31 October 2026 the market is void, and the Chamber of Deputies and Senate pages are the backups.
We found seven Italian decrees like this one since 2007. Each was an emergency decree on security, migration or public order, made by a government with its own majority, and in each the president had doubts on the record or asked for changes. We counted the days from the cabinet vote to the president's signature, and checked whether parliament changed the text.