Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market18 Jun 2026

Who is Kosovo's prime minister on 10 August?

Multiple choiceResolves 10 Aug 2026
Hunch
Kurti, confirmed by the Assembly33%
Kurti, still acting45%
Another figure confirmed10%
Assembly still unconstituted12%
Your forecast
  • Kurti, confirmed by the Assembly
  • Kurti, still acting
  • Another figure confirmed
  • Assembly still unconstituted
Resolved
Resolved: Kurti, still acting

Albin Kurti was still acting prime minister on 10 August, two days after telling an unconstituted Assembly that he needed more time to agree a speaker, per Reuters, the BBC and Al Jazeera.

Resolved 10 Aug 2026
How this resolves

The market resolves on the Assembly's official records and the Official Gazette of Kosovo, resolving on the person exercising the office on 10 August, confirmed or acting. If that source has not published in time, BBC and Al Jazeera settle it.

The pattern behind it

Too few cases
In two of Kosovo's last five parliamentary elections a government won a confidence vote within two months of polling day, and five is the full record since 2017. The split is real: 36 days at the fastest in 2021, about six weeks after the December 2025 snap vote, and 199 days of pure institutional deadlock after February 2025 that ended in fresh elections. Five cases is below the six Hunch requires to show History.

After an election, Kosovo often waits a long time for a government. We looked at the five parliamentary elections since 2017 and counted the days from polling day to a government confirmed by the Assembly. The fastest took five weeks. The slowest ran 199 days with no government at all and ended in new elections.