Tue, 19 May 2026
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Market29 Jun 2026

Will Manchester City's confirmed summer spending pass £100m by 31 Jul 2026?

BinaryResolves 31 Jul 2026
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Resolved
Resolved: YES

Elliot Anderson's £116m (€135m) arrival from Nottingham Forest on 23 July took confirmed summer spending past £100m on its own, within roughly £153m of completed deals by 31 July.

Resolved 23 Jul 2026
How this resolves

Confirmed spending is the sum of fees for completed permanent transfers as reported by the Sky Sports Transfer Centre; add-ons and reported-but-unconfirmed deals are excluded.

The pattern behind it

1 of 5
Of five successors to English managerial reigns of nine years or more, only 1 of 5 survived beyond two full seasons. The exception, Bob Paisley, was the insider promoted from within — the precedent City are consciously leaning on with a former Guardiola assistant.

We looked at English clubs that replaced a manager who had been in charge for nine years or more. We found five, and four of the new managers were gone within two seasons. The one who lasted longer, Bob Paisley at Liverpool, had been the assistant of the man he replaced.