Abdul El-Sayed won the Michigan Senate race of 3 November 2026, beating Mike Rogers, as The Guardian and BBC News both report (AP and CBS calls); the Michigan state site blocks scripts, and AP shows him ahead 51.9% to 46.2% with about 88% counted.
History. 2 of 8. Both wins were open seats of the candidate's own party, as Michigan is now.
Hunch. A Marist poll in late September put El-Sayed seven points ahead of Mike Rogers, who already lost a Michigan Senate race in 2024 (The Guardian, 5 Oct).
Resolves on the official Michigan Secretary of State results for the US Senate election of 3 November 2026: YES if Abdul El-Sayed has the most votes, NO if another candidate does. The state site blocks automatic access, so if it cannot be opened, matching reports of the result by BBC News and The Guardian settle it.
We looked for cases where a candidate won a party primary for the US Senate against the person the party's leaders backed, and then faced the general election. We found eight since 2010, seven of them Republicans. In two, the seat was open and it belonged to the candidate's own party, as in Michigan now.