Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market04 Jul 2026

Will an African side reach the 2026 World Cup final?

BinaryResolves 15 Jul 2026
History0 of 4
Hunch18%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: NO

Morocco, the last African side, lost 2-0 to France on 9 Jul; the semi-final field is Spain, France, England, Argentina (Yahoo Sports, 12 Jul 2026).

Resolved 9 Jul 2026
How this resolves

African-finalist resolves YES if any CAF member nation wins a semi-final (semi-finals conclude 15 July), per FIFA.com.

The pattern behind it

4 of 4
In the last four World Cup knockout rematches, the side that won the first meeting won again every time. The pattern is unanimous — and it favours France, who beat Morocco 2-0 in the 2022 semi-final.

We looked at World Cup knockout games where two teams met again after an earlier knockout game between them. In the last four, the team that won the first game won again. Four games is a small record.