Does Nvidia guide fourth-quarter revenue at $125bn or more in results due by 27 November 2026?
BinaryResolves 27 Nov 2026
Hunch50%
Your forecast
Yes
No
Resolves 27 Nov 2026
How this resolves
(adjacent). the same Nvidia release, outlook section, stating expected fourth-quarter revenue; YES if the midpoint is $125.0bn or higher. If that source has not published in time, Reuters and the Financial Times settle it.
The pattern behind it
8 of 8
Eight of the last eight Nvidia quarters finished above the top of the company's own revenue outlook range, by margins from 0.5 per cent (Q1 fiscal 2026) to 5.9 per cent (Q3 fiscal 2025). Across all eighteen outlooks since February 2022 it is fifteen of eighteen; the three exceptions came in fiscal 2023: Q2 ($6.70bn against an $8.10bn outlook), Q3 ($5.93bn against $5.90bn, inside the range) and Q4 ($6.05bn against $6.00bn, inside the range). Since Q1 fiscal 2024 the run is fourteen of fourteen, most recently $96.2bn against $91.0bn.
We compared eighteen forecasts with eighteen results. They cover every quarter from the forecast given in February 2022 to the results of 26 August 2026, all taken from Nvidia's own earnings releases. A quarter counts if sales came in above the top of the forecast range. The eight newest are shown first.
Some cookies are essential for Hunch to work properly. Others are optional—you decide whether to allow them. We don’t sell your personal data. Learn more and change your choices at any time in Cookie settings.