Does OPEC+ announce a cut to output quotas for November at its meeting on 4 Oct 2026?

In four of the seven cases since 2019 the next OPEC+ decision after a Gulf attack was an output increase: 400,000 barrels a day after Abu Dhabi and 432,000 after Jeddah in 2022, 548,000 after Al Udeid in 2025 and 188,000 after the Hormuz strikes in 2026. In the other three the group extended an existing cut, in July 2019, failed to agree at all, in March 2020, or deepened its cuts by 500,000 barrels a day, in December 2019 after Abqaiq. The increases came when the group was already on an unwinding schedule; the cut and the extension came when it was managing a glut. Seven cases on the page, seven in the record.