Hunch. Both slower cases had a route open on the day the minister spoke, a bill in the Lords and a promised consultation, while Parenting Orders sit in primary legislation and no sentencing or youth justice bill is before Parliament.
The November market resolves the same way, on the same test, with the window running to the end of 12 November 2026. The primary source is the Ministry of Justice publications list on gov.uk and the bill pages on parliament.uk; if neither can be read that day, reports by the BBC and the Guardian settle it.
We looked for UK ministers who announced a new punishment in an interview or a speech before it was in any published government bill or consultation. Then we measured how long it took for a consultation, a white paper or bill text to set it out. We found five since 2021, five separate decisions by five ministers. One warning: plans that ended in a document are easier to find, so the list may lean towards them. The newest come first.