History. No count from past promises: from today's start only two of them were still open this long (decided on day 137, and never), fewer than four.
Hunch. Ministers have promised this vote "shortly" since July, and in 2017 ministers of an earlier government missed both dates they named for it, so with no date set on 7 November it can still wait until 2027.
The Christmas market resolves on Hansard and the Commons Votes and Proceedings: YES if by the end of 17 December 2026, London time, the Commons has not decided a government motion on the way forward for the repairs, and NO if the question on it was put and decided that day or earlier, with or without a division. A debate with no decision, a date announced, or a vote in the House of Lords only does not count, and BBC News and The Guardian settle it if the official pages are silent.
We looked for cases where a UK government promised the House of Commons a vote on how it runs itself, from MPs' conduct to its own building, without giving a date. We found seven such promises since 1995, two of them about these same repairs.