Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market15 Sep 2026

Does Piddington's vote pass 90% for leaving the UK on 16 Sep?

BinaryResolves 16 Sep 2026
Hunch65%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: YES

Piddington Parish Council declared 285 votes to leave the UK and 26 against, with one spoiled ballot, out of 312 cast: 91.6 per cent of valid votes (BBC News, 16 Sep 2026).

Resolved 16 Sep 2026
How this resolves

(adjacent). The referendum market resolves on the result declared by Piddington Parish Council on 16 September 2026 as reported by two of BBC, Oxford Mail and the Independent, YES if the share for leaving the UK is above 90 per cent of valid votes cast. If no percentage or vote count is published by 23:59 BST on 17 September, NO.

The pattern behind it

2 of 8
Two of the last eight local revolts against a Home Office large-site asylum plan drew a council or residents' court claim within 31 days: Scampton and Wethersfield, both 2023. Full record of ten, with Penally and Bicester 2002: two of ten.

We found eight such fights since 2020. Each time the Home Office planned to house asylum seekers on a large former military site, or a similar one, and the local council or residents organised against it. We counted from the day the Home Office confirmed the site and asked whether a council or residents went to court within 31 days. The newest come first. Barnham and Linton-on-Ouse, named in June 2026 with Bicester, are left out because 90 days have not yet passed.