No successor government won an investiture vote by 31 July; Bolojan remained caretaker prime minister after the 5 May censure motion, per the Romanian government's own records and Monitorul Oficial.
The market resolves on the official record of a joint session of the Romanian Parliament, published in Monitorul Oficial. It resolves YES only if a government won an investiture vote on or before 31 July 2026. If that source has not published in time, the Romanian Government's official site and Al Jazeera settle it.
We looked at every Romanian government brought down by a censure motion, a vote of no confidence in parliament, since 1989. There are four. Then we checked how fast parliament confirmed the next government. Two were replaced within four weeks and two took much longer. Both of the slow ones went through failed nominations first.